National Agricultural Weather Overview

A late-winter pattern continues to steer quick-moving systems across the country while colder, drier air periodically drops out of Canada and milder, moisture-rich air builds over the southern tier and East. For producers, that means changeable temperatures, intermittent fieldwork windows, and localized bouts of mud, wind and frost risk. The West remains influenced by Pacific waves that keep mountain snowpack building and deliver welcome moisture to key valleys, while the central and eastern United States navigate front-driven rains, occasional wintry mix to the north, and an increasing risk of early-season severe weather along the Gulf and lower Mississippi Valley as warmer air tries to take hold.

Note for readers: This national briefing summarizes recent conditions and provides a practical 7-day outlook by region. Always check your local National Weather Service office or state extension for site-specific, up-to-the-minute conditions and advisories.

Recent 24 Hours: What Producers Likely Experienced

  • Central U.S.: A passing front brought areas of light to locally moderate precipitation, with rain along and south of the boundary and pockets of snow or a wintry mix on its colder flank. Gusty winds followed the frontal passage, producing short-lived blowing snow in open northern areas and elevated fire-weather concerns on the dry, warm side of the system.
  • South and Delta: Humid air supported showers and a few thunderstorms, most active near the Gulf Coast and lower Mississippi Valley. Where rains set up repeatedly, fields turned muddy; elsewhere, breaks allowed some tillage and topdressing.
  • West: Pacific impulses kept mountain snow going and delivered scattered valley rain. Central California’s valleys and the Pacific Northwest saw periodic showers with cool, cloudy intervals; interior basins noted pockets of morning fog where winds were light.
  • East: A temperature gradient sharpened along a wavy boundary, with cool, damp conditions north and milder, breezier weather to the south. Coastal sections observed on-and-off showers; inland areas saw drizzle, low clouds, and patchy ice only in the coldest pockets.

Field impacts from the day included variable soil surface saturation near recent showers, short windows for drydown in breezy post-frontal air, and sporadic frost at daybreak in interior valleys and the northern tier.

Seven-Day Agricultural Weather Outlook

Midwest & Corn Belt (Upper Midwest, Great Lakes, Ohio Valley)

Next 7 Days

  • Temperatures: Variable, with one or two quick cold shots bracketing milder stretches. Expect freeze/thaw cycles; morning frost remains common, especially north of the I-80 corridor.
  • Precipitation: Periodic systems deliver light to moderate precipitation. Rain is favored across the central and southern Corn Belt; a rain/snow mix or wet snow is possible in the Upper Midwest and northern Great Lakes during cooler windows.
  • Fieldwork: Limited multi-day drying runs. Short, breezy drydowns are likely after each frontal passage but may be too brief for widespread early fieldwork outside well-drained fields.
  • Livestock: Calving operations should plan windbreaks and bedding ahead of colder intrusions. Brief wind chills may stress young stock.
  • Disease risk: Cool, damp intervals favor residue-borne disease pressure in small grains and cover crops; scout low-lying, shaded fields.

Northern Plains (Dakotas, Northern Nebraska, Montana High Plains)

Next 7 Days

  • Temperatures: Generally cool with sharp day-to-day swings; subfreezing mornings remain frequent. Any warmups are brief and wind-driven.
  • Precipitation: Light, mostly nuisance events. Northern tier could see bursts of snow or light wintry mix with clipper-type systems; accumulations favor open country drifting more than deep totals.
  • Field/Livestock: Frozen ground limits mud, but wind exposure is a concern. Maintain access to water and shelter; monitor stock conditions closely during colder, windy periods.
  • Moisture profile: Deeper recharge remains modest; snowpack contribution is uneven and highly localized.

Central & Southern Plains (Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas Panhandle; Winter Wheat & Cattle Country)

Next 7 Days

  • Temperatures: Mild to warm spells punctuated by quick fronts. Large diurnal swings favor active wheat growth where moisture is adequate.
  • Precipitation: Intermittent chances for showers, especially east of the High Plains and into Oklahoma/north Texas. Western zones stay spottier and windier.
  • Field/Livestock: Elevated fire-weather risk on warm, dry, windy days—secure equipment and postpone hot work as needed. For wheat, topdressing windows appear between systems; watch for leaf burn under warm, breezy, low-humidity afternoons.
  • Severe risk: Late-week to weekend period bears watching for strong storms along and east of the dryline—greatest concern from north Texas into Oklahoma if Gulf moisture pools.

Delta & Lower Mississippi Valley

Next 7 Days

  • Temperatures: Generally mild to warm with humid days; limited frost risk except where cold fronts undercut moisture briefly.
  • Precipitation: Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, some producing heavy downpours. Localized ponding and renewed mud are possible, especially in poorly drained fields.
  • Fieldwork: Expect interruptions; target short drying breaks for fertilizer applications and bed shaping. Avoid compaction in the wettest windows.
  • Severe risk: One or two windows for strong to severe storms—damaging wind, hail, and a few tornadoes possible if instability aligns with a passing jet streak.
  • Disease/Weeds: Warm, wet intervals jump-start early-season weed flushes and raise disease pressure in winter wheat and cover crops; plan timely herbicide and fungicide strategies between rains.

Southeast (Gulf Coast states through the Carolinas)

Next 7 Days

  • Temperatures: Above-normal readings on several days; coastal and peninsula areas trend warm and humid. Brief cool-downs trail fronts.
  • Precipitation: Frequent shower/thunderstorm chances along Gulf-influenced corridors; the Carolinas see alternating dry and wet spells tied to coastal lows/fronts.
  • Fieldwork: Stop-and-go. Coastal plain soils stay tacky where rains repeat; inland Piedmont enjoys longer breaks. Consider disease-resistant varieties and improved airflow in high-tunnel/greenhouse settings as humidity spikes.
  • Frost risk: Low overall but not zero in interior valleys immediately behind a strong front; protect tender blooms in early orchards where microclimates run cool.

Northeast (Appalachians to New England)

Next 7 Days

  • Temperatures: Highly variable; chilly shots interspersed with milder days. Frequent morning freezes remain likely inland.
  • Precipitation: Mixed-mode events persist—rain near the coast and in southern valleys; wintry mix or wet snow inland and at elevation during colder windows.
  • Field/Orchards: Sap flow conditions oscillate with freeze/thaw—favorable overall for maple producers. Orchard managers should prepare for radiational frost on the clearest post-frontal nights.

California (Central Valley, Coastal Growing Regions, Desert Valleys)

Next 7 Days

  • Temperatures: Seasonable to cool in the north, milder south; inland valleys see large day-night swings with localized morning fog where skies clear.
  • Precipitation: Periodic Pacific systems keep chances for valley rain and additional Sierra/Coastal Range snow. Heavier, longer-duration events are possible if a moisture plume focuses on the coast.
  • Field/Orchards: Intermittent downpours can slow ground operations; plan around showery days to minimize compaction. Citrus and nut growers should monitor for short, cool wet spells that elevate fungal disease pressure; tighten spray intervals as needed.
  • Water: Snowpack building in the Sierra continues to support runoff prospects; monitor reservoir operations and orchard floor drainage in low-lying tracts during wetter bursts.

Pacific Northwest (WA/OR Valleys, Columbia Basin)

Next 7 Days

  • Temperatures: Cool overall; chilly mornings remain common east of the Cascades.
  • Precipitation: Continued rounds of valley rain and mountain snow; showers may be frequent but with breaks for field access in rain-shadowed zones.
  • Field/Hops/Tree Fruit: Manage canopy airflow and sanitation to curb disease in cool, damp intervals. Frost protection may be needed in interior basins after clearer, post-frontal nights.

Southwest Deserts (AZ, CA Imperial/Yuma, NM Borderlands)

Next 7 Days

  • Temperatures: Mild to warm afternoons with cool, clear nights; large daily ranges continue.
  • Precipitation: Mostly dry with a low-probability shower if a Pacific impulse digs farther south.
  • Field/Produce: Favorable harvest and planting windows with low humidity; wind-prone days could bring dust—adjust irrigation and harvest timing to minimize sandblasting.

Intermountain West & Rockies (Great Basin, High Valleys, Front Range)

Next 7 Days

  • Temperatures: Cool, with cold nights in high valleys; modest warmups ahead of each wave.
  • Precipitation: Periodic mountain snow and valley rain/snow mix. Snowpack continues to build in favored ranges.
  • Livestock/Range: Windy pre-frontal periods increase feed needs; maintain access to sheltered ground. Calving operations should prepare for rapid weather changes.

Cross-Commodity Considerations

  • Soil Moisture and Field Access: Expect a patchwork of suitable field days, with the best windows in the Southwest and parts of the interior Northwest/High Plains between systems. Central and eastern areas will see shorter breaks as storm tracks stay active.
  • Frost and Freeze: Northern tier, interior West, and Northeast maintain regular morning freezes. The Southeast’s frost risk is lower but not zero right after strong cold fronts—protect early-blooming orchards in cool hollows.
  • Severe Weather Onset: The southern Plains to the lower Mississippi Valley enters early-season severe weather mode. Producers should review shelter plans for people and animals and secure lightweight equipment where thunderstorm winds are possible.
  • Disease and Pests: Alternating warmth and humidity in the South and Delta will increase weed flushes and disease pressure in small grains and winter vegetables. In the West Coast valleys, cool wet spells favor fungal diseases—tighten scouting and adjust spray timing to rain gaps.
  • Wind Management: Expect multiple breezy to windy days across the Plains, Southwest, and interior West. Consider erosion control on bare fields, and time topdress applications to minimize volatilization and drift.

Planning Windows and Watch-Outs

  • Best odds for multi-day fieldwork: Southwest deserts; episodic windows in the Central Valley and Columbia Basin; brief post-frontal breaks in the central Plains.
  • Highest wetness risk: Lower Mississippi Valley, Gulf Coast, and stretches of the Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachians where multiple rounds of showers/storms are possible.
  • Wintry nuisances: Northern Plains, Upper Midwest, interior Northeast with quick-hitting snow or mixed precipitation during colder waves.
  • Potential heavy mountain snow: Sierra Nevada and Cascades during stronger Pacific waves, aiding water supply but slowing passes and timber operations.

Operational Tips for the Week Ahead

  • Time nutrient and herbicide applications to the back edge of rain shields and during lighter-wind afternoons to reduce drift and improve uptake.
  • For winter wheat in the central and southern Plains, prioritize fields with adequate moisture and strong tiller counts for early topdressing; delay where soils are too dry or saturated.
  • In humid southern zones, rotate chemistries and incorporate cultural practices to manage early disease and weed pressure heightened by warm, wet intervals.
  • Secure tarps, irrigation lines, and lightweight infrastructure ahead of windy fronts; use windbreaks and bedding for newborn livestock during cold, breezy snaps.
  • Orchard managers: Have frost-protection plans ready for clear, calm nights following frontal passages, particularly in interior valleys and basins.

Confidence Notes

Confidence is higher for an active southern storm track delivering multiple rounds of showers and a few strong thunderstorms from the southern Plains into the lower Mississippi Valley, and for continued Pacific-driven precipitation episodes in the West. Confidence is moderate for quick, colder shots in the northern tier with intermittent light snow. Local totals and exact timing will vary with each wave; monitor short-term forecasts from your local National Weather Service office for precise timing, amounts, and any watches or warnings.