📈 Market Summary: Last 24 Hours

The U.S. corn market saw modest gains on August 25, 2025, with spot prices rising to $3.89 per bushel, up $0.13 from the previous day [1]. Futures contracts also showed slight upward movement, with September corn closing at 388-4 and December at 412-6 [2].

Market sentiment was influenced by the Pro Farmer Crop Tour, which reported lower yield estimates, supporting prices despite broader commodity volatility [2].

🌾 USDA Forecast & 7-Day Outlook

The USDA's August 2025 Feed Outlook projects a record-breaking corn harvest for the 2025–26 marketing year. Key highlights include:

  • Production forecast: 16.7 billion bushels, up over 1 billion from July [3][4]
  • Harvested area: 88.7 million acres, a 2 million-acre increase
  • Yield: 188.8 bushels per acre, a 7.8 bushel increase
  • Ending stocks: Raised by 457 million bushels
  • Average farm price: Lowered to $3.90 per bushel

Growing conditions remain favorable, with 72% of the crop rated “good-to-excellent,” especially in top-producing states like Iowa, Nebraska, and Minnesota [3].

📊 Market Implications

The massive production forecast has exerted downward pressure on futures prices, with analysts warning of potential retests of support levels around $3.50–$3.60 per bushel [4]. However, strong global competitiveness and increased domestic use (feed, ethanol, and exports) may help stabilize demand.

🔮 7-Day Outlook

  • Price Trend: Slight bearish pressure expected due to oversupply, but technical support may hold.
  • Weather Impact: Continued favorable conditions could reinforce yield expectations.
  • Market Watch: Traders should monitor USDA updates and export demand signals.

Sources:

  • [1](https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/corn-price) Markets Insider
  • [2](https://www.agweb.com/markets/futures/corn-price) AgWeb
  • [3](https://www.agproud.com/articles/62054-august-2025-usda-feed-outlook-report) Ag Proud
  • [4](https://www.world-grain.com/articles/21735-corn-prices-tumble-on-massive-production-forecast) World Grain
  • [5](https://ers.usda.gov/sites/default/files/_laserfiche/outlooks/113145/FDS-25h.pdf?v=84257) USDA ERS