📈 Market Summary: Last 24 Hours

U.S. soybean prices rose to $10.32 per bushel on August 26, 2025, up 0.64% from the previous day[1]. This marks a 4.38% increase over the past month and a 6.67% rise year-over-year, driven by strong domestic crush demand and cautious optimism around export prospects [1].

🌱 USDA Forecast & 7-Day Outlook

The USDA’s August 2025 forecast projects a record average yield of 53.6 bushels per acre, though total production is slightly down to 4.292 billion bushels due to reduced acreage [2]. Key producing states like Iowa, Illinois, and Indiana are expected to hit record yields.

  • Harvested acreage: 80.1 million acres (down 2.4 million)
  • Ending stocks: 290 million bushels
  • Average farm price: $10.10 per bushel
  • Crush demand: 2.54 billion bushels (up from 2.42 billion) [3]
  • Export forecast: 1.7 billion bushels [4]

Weather remains a critical factor, with August conditions influencing pod development. Traders are watching for signs of drought or excessive heat that could impact final yields [3].

📊 Market Implications

Despite strong domestic demand, export uncertainty—especially with China favoring South American suppliers—could limit price gains. Managed money funds are currently short on soybean futures, reflecting cautious sentiment [3].

🔮 7-Day Outlook

  • Price Trend: Stable to slightly bullish, supported by crush demand
  • Weather Impact: Watch for late-summer heat or drought risks
  • Market Watch: Export data and fund trader positions may drive volatility

Sources:

  • [1](https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/soybeans) Trading Economics
  • [2](https://fryar-risk-center.uada.edu/publications-reports/week-57-august-crop-forecasts-record-yields/) University of Arkansas
  • [3](https://hpj.com/2025/08/01/three-soybean-market-fundamentals-to-monitor-during-august/) High Plains Journal
  • [4](https://ers.usda.gov/sites/default/files/_laserfiche/outlooks/113125/OCS-25h.pdf?v=99046) USDA ERS