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U.S. Agricultural Weather Outlook: Early-Winter Contrasts, Western Snow, and Fieldwork Windows for the Week Ahead

U.S. Agricultural Weather Outlook: Early-Winter Contrasts, Western Snow, and Fieldwork Windows for the Week Ahead

Early-winter contrasts persist: northern chill and light snow, Southern Plains/Southeast milder, West periodically wet with mountain snow. Next week: Pacific waves, California fog, Southwest dry, Plains frontal rain, intermittent Corn Belt/Northeast mixed precip. Risks include frost, wind, fog, mountain snow; best field windows early in Southern Plains/Southwest.

Weather
U.S. Ag Policy Weekly Brief: Farm Bill Sticking Points, Regulatory Moves, and Market Signals to Watch

U.S. Ag Policy Weekly Brief: Farm Bill Sticking Points, Regulatory Moves, and Market Signals to Watch

U.S. agriculture policy is in flux as Congress and agencies negotiate the farm bill, appropriations riders, and major rules on labor, pesticides, water, biofuels, competition, and trade. Court and state actions add uncertainty. Near-term calendars signal movement; producers should stress-test budgets, monitor compliance shifts, hedge markets, and time program enrollments.

Politics
U.S. Wheat Market Update: Prices Edge Higher, Outlook Remains Bearish

U.S. Wheat Market Update: Prices Edge Higher, Outlook Remains Bearish

Wheat futures edged higher to around $5.06/bu after short-covering and spillover support from corn and soybeans, but prices remain under pressure from abundant global supplies and strong Russian exports. USDA estimates U.S. wheat production at 1.93B bushels with yields of 52.7 bpa, slightly above last year. Export sales reached 722,900 MT, near the top of expectations. Over the next week, futures are expected to trade between $4.95–$5.15, with favorable weather aiding harvest and global competition likely capping gains.

Ag Market
U.S. Soybean Market Update: Prices Rally on Exports, Outlook Cautious

U.S. Soybean Market Update: Prices Rally on Exports, Outlook Cautious

Soybean futures climbed to $10.56/bu, supported by strong export sales and localized crop stress reported by the Pro Farmer Crop Tour. USDA projects a 4.29B bushel crop with a record yield of 53.6 bpa, keeping overall supply ample despite regional dryness. Old-crop shipments remain strong, but new-crop export commitments lag amid uncertain Chinese demand. Over the next week, prices are expected to trade between $10.30–$10.70, with weather mostly favorable and final crop tour results likely to influence sentiment.

Ag Market
U.S. Cotton Market Update: Prices Hold Steady, Outlook Mixed

U.S. Cotton Market Update: Prices Hold Steady, Outlook Mixed

ICE cotton futures held steady, with December closing at 67.6¢/lb as USDA’s report projected 13.2M bales, the second-lowest U.S. crop in a decade. Despite reduced acreage, global supply remains ample due to strong Brazilian and Chinese output. U.S. export sales for 2024/25 are solid, but new-crop bookings lag. Crop conditions improved to 53% good-to-excellent, supporting yield prospects. Over the next week, prices are expected to hover between 66–69¢/lb, with weather favorable and global competition likely capping gains.

Ag Market
U.S. Corn Market Update: Record Crop Pressures Prices, 7-Day Outlook

U.S. Corn Market Update: Record Crop Pressures Prices, 7-Day Outlook

Corn futures edged up to $4.05/bu after earlier lows, but the market remains under pressure from USDA’s record crop forecast of 16.7B bushels and 188.8 bpa yield. Crop conditions are strong at 71% good-to-excellent, and early southern harvest adds supply pressure. Exports are up 28% YoY, though global competition persists. Over the next 7 days, prices may retest $3.75–$3.85, with weather mostly favorable and Pro Farmer Crop Tour results likely to influence sentiment.

Ag Market
Corn Gains on Strong Export Sales as Soybeans and Wheat Retreat

Corn Gains on Strong Export Sales as Soybeans and Wheat Retreat

Corn futures rose slightly on strong export sales to South Korea and Spain, while soybeans and wheat fell on technical selling and profit-taking. Argentina is expected to boost corn acreage by up to 20%, and Brazil is on track for a record soybean harvest of 6.23 billion bushels. Chicago and Kansas City wheat both posted modest losses. Broader ag indexes showed mixed results, with corn up and live cattle down. Global supply prospects and export activity remain the main drivers in the grain markets, keeping sentiment cautiously balanced despite short-term price swings.

Ag Market
7-Day Ag Markets Outlook (Aug 15–21, 2025): Crop Tour, Weather Maps, and Weekly Sales Drive the Tape

7-Day Ag Markets Outlook (Aug 15–21, 2025): Crop Tour, Weather Maps, and Weekly Sales Drive the Tape

Next week’s ag trade hinges on Pro Farmer Crop Tour (Aug 18–21), Monday Crop Progress, Thursday export sales, and weather outlooks. Corn: sideways to softer amid large U.S. supply unless tour/exports surprise; watch ethanol midweek. Soybeans: two-way with slight upside if pod counts or warm/dry maps hit; new-crop sales key. Wheat: rallies likely fade without export strength. Softs choppy; cattle supported but volatile, hogs track product values. Treat moves as headline- and weather-sensitive.

Ag Market